19 May 2011

Post-Budget rating downgrade not expected

6:00 am on 19 May 2011

Some economists believe the Government will do enough in the Budget to avoid a downgrade of New Zealand's credit rating.

Two of the big international credit ratings agencies have the Government on notice for a possible downgrade.

That would add to the Government's borrowing costs, as well as banks.

Westpac economists are not expecting a downgrade. However, they say bigger Budget cuts than those already signalled could be on the cards.

ASB economists also do not expect a downgrade, but say high overall debt - Government and households - means the threat is likely to linger for another two to three years.