A forecast of likely medal tallies at the London Olympics suggests New Zealand will fail to reach its 10-medal target.
The predictions by PricewaterhouseCoopers are based on a nation's population, average income, whether the country was part of the former Soviet bloc and whether it's the host nation.
PwC forecasts that New Zealand will win seven medals, two less than at Beijing.
The United States is predicted to top the medal tally with 113 and China will be second overall.
PwC chief economist John Hawksworth predicted Russia would be next, then Britain.
He saw Britain taking an extra seven medals on top of 47 won in China four years ago.
China won 51 golds in Beijing to top the overall medal table, while the United States won gold 36 times.